{"id":50426,"date":"2023-07-27T00:45:18","date_gmt":"2023-07-26T21:45:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.adanaseshaber.com\/haber-fedin-karari-kuresel-piyasalari-ne-yonde-etkileyecek.html"},"modified":"2023-07-27T00:45:18","modified_gmt":"2023-07-26T21:45:18","slug":"fedin-karari-kuresel-piyasalari-ne-yonde-etkileyecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/?p=50426","title":{"rendered":"FED\u2019in karar\u0131 k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131 ne y\u00f6nde etkileyecek?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin oda\u011f\u0131nda olan FED\u2019in faiz karar\u0131 bug\u00fcn saat 21.00\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. K\u00fcresel piyasalar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir seyir izlerken, piyasalar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc \u00e7evirdi\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131klama \u00f6ncesinde Do\u00e7. Dr. Yusuf Din\u00e7, a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulundu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>G\u00fcls\u00fcm YILDIRIM \u2013 Herkes Duysun \/ BURSA (\u0130GFA) \u2013\u00a0 <\/strong>FED\u2019in y\u00fcksek oranda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m beklentisi ya da faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na devam edece\u011fi beklentisinin k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi olumsuz etkiledi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen Do\u00e7. Dr. Yusuf Din\u00e7, FED\u2019in k\u00fcresel rezervi y\u00f6netti\u011fi i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya ekonomisini de g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurmas\u0131 gerekir fakat bunu son d\u00f6nemde yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkati \u00e7ekerek, Amerika\u2019n\u0131n i\u00e7ine do\u011fru politika tercihlerini belirledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00e7ok petrol ve de\u011ferli metaller \u00fczerinden de\u011ferlendirilmesi gerekti\u011fini kaydeden Do\u00e7. Dr. Din\u00e7, \u201cE\u011fer faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir sona yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ederse ve ad\u0131m\u0131 da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olursa alt\u0131n\u0131 da, petrol\u00fc de, bak\u0131r gibi sanayi girdilerini de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde etkileyebilir. Faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir ad\u0131m at\u0131lacaksa, de\u011ferli metallerin ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 geldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz. Beklenti faiz art\u0131r\u0131m taraf\u0131nda Fed\u2019in yava\u015flamas\u0131 piyasa bekliyor. FED\u2019in, sunumu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdikten sonra bu hafta i\u00e7in petrol ve alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu olabilir.\u00a0 Bu da enerji ithal eden \u00fclkeleri olumsuz etkileyecektir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cAKARYAKIT F\u0130YATLARINDA \u0130LAVE ZAMLAR G\u00d6REB\u0130L\u0130R\u0130Z\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enflasyonun dengelenmesi zaman al\u0131c\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 oldu\u011funu ve bunun da 2025\u2019e kadar sarkabilece\u011fini ifade eden Din\u00e7, \u201cAkaryak\u0131t zamlar\u0131nda Fed\u2019in politika ad\u0131mlar\u0131 belirleyici olur. Fed, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda sona gelirse, akaryak\u0131t zamlar\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir y\u00fckselme bekleyebiliriz. Faiz art\u0131r\u0131m noktas\u0131nda yava\u015f ad\u0131mlar at\u0131p, sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 analiz edip, ihtiyac\u0131n devam edip etmedi\u011fini tespit ettikten sonra ad\u0131mlar atacaksa ki bu da yava\u015flama demek olur. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 bir miktar yukar\u0131 gider k\u0131sa vadede yurt i\u00e7indeki akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 etkiler. Fed \u00f6nceki tavr\u0131n\u0131 korursa, akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f beklememek gerekir. Tabi bu petrol ya da akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131ndaki belirleyicilerden sadece bir tanesidir, di\u011feri de k\u00fcresel konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fcn i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu gerilimlerdir. Bunun da ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 Ukrayna-Rusya sava\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Sava\u015f\u0131n geni\u015fleyen bir hal almas\u0131, petrolde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir etki yapabilir. Oradaki bar\u0131\u015f ihtimali ise, petrol\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr bu da yurt i\u00e7inde akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir. Son art\u0131\u015flar b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda \u00d6TV\u2019den geldi ancak bir miktar da petrol\u00fcn 70 dolardan 80 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla olu\u015ftu. Biz sava\u015f ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda petrol\u00fcn 120 dolara kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. Bunda sadece sava\u015f de\u011fil, Fed\u2019in politikalar\u0131 da belirleyicidir. K\u00fcresel risklerde ciddi bir art\u0131\u015f olmazsa, Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde yava\u015flasa dahi, petroldeki art\u0131\u015f k\u0131sa vadede \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze \u00e7\u0131kar daha sonra yeniden dengelenip, istikrarl\u0131 bir seyir alabilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131nda ilave zamlar g\u00f6rebiliriz.\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cTCMB\u2019DEN FA\u0130Z ARTI\u015eI BEKLENEB\u0130L\u0130R\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enflasyonla m\u00fccadele konusunda, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Hafize Gaye Erkan\u2019n\u0131n ve Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in yapaca\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar hakk\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerini dile getiren Do\u00e7. Dr. Yusuf Din\u00e7, \u201cFed ne yaparsa di\u011fer \u00fclkeler de onu yapar. Buna para politikas\u0131ndaki hiyerar\u015fi denir. Di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131, Fed\u2019i takip etmek durumundad\u0131r fakat T\u00fcrkiye, 2008 K\u00fcresel Finans Krizi\u2019nden bu yana politikalar\u0131nda hiyerar\u015fiyi ortadan kald\u0131rm\u0131\u015f bir z\u0131tl\u0131k sergiliyordu. Pandemi sonras\u0131 bu hiyerar\u015fi yeniden olu\u015ftu ve T\u00fcrkiye bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kald\u0131. Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131rken, T\u00fcrkiye indirdi. Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 durdursa dahi T\u00fcrkiye aksi y\u00f6nde faiz art\u0131rarak hiyerar\u015fiden ayk\u0131r\u0131 bir \u015fekilde cevap verecek gibi duruyor. Ekonomi y\u00f6netiminden beklenti de budur. \u0130\u015fletmeler, kredi talep edenler durumu \u015fimdilik makul buluyorlar. O y\u00fczden, ufak ad\u0131mlar da olsa TCMB\u2019den faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklenebilir. Say\u0131n Erkan\u2019\u0131n da ba\u015fkanl\u0131k etti\u011fi ilk Para Kurulu Toplant\u0131s\u0131\u2019nda 650 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f oldu. Bu, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in tarihteki en b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015flardan biri. Ondan sonraki kararda daha y\u00fcksek nispette bir art\u0131\u015f bekleyenler vard\u0131. TCMB i\u00e7in en az bir tane daha faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi var.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cHAZIRLIK S\u00dcREC\u0130N\u0130 \u0130Y\u0130 TAMAMLAMAK GEREK\u0130R\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fi, belirsizliklerin biraz daha artm\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7eken Din\u00e7, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00f6viz kitle endeksinin artm\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 bir \u00e7eyrek olacak ve Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131na gelindi\u011finde, sene sonunu nas\u0131l ge\u00e7irece\u011fim ile ilgili yeterince fikrimizin olmas\u0131 gerekir. Bu nedenle yaz aylar\u0131nda haz\u0131rl\u0131k s\u00fcrecini iyi tamamlamak gerekir. T\u00fcrkiye bu zorlu s\u00fcreci a\u015facakt\u0131r ama 2025\u2019e kadar sarkacak bir dengelenme s\u00fcreninin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.\u201d diyerek s\u00f6zlerine son verdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin oda\u011f\u0131nda olan FED\u2019in faiz karar\u0131 bug\u00fcn saat 21.00\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. K\u00fcresel piyasalar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir seyir izlerken, piyasalar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc \u00e7evirdi\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131klama \u00f6ncesinde Do\u00e7. Dr. Yusuf Din\u00e7, a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulundu. G\u00fcls\u00fcm YILDIRIM \u2013 Herkes Duysun \/ BURSA (\u0130GFA) \u2013\u00a0 FED\u2019in y\u00fcksek oranda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m beklentisi ya da &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":50427,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50426","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50426","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=50426"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50426\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50428,"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50426\/revisions\/50428"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/50427"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=50426"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=50426"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adanaseshaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=50426"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}